Managed futures gained 13.90% in 2008, according to the Barclay CTA Index compiled by BarclayHedge, the best annual performance for CTAs since their 21.02% return in 1990.
“A gain of nearly 14% clearly sets managed futures apart from the losses suffered by most hedge fund strategies and financial markets in 2008,” says Sol Waksman, founder and president of BarclayHedge. “The Barclay CTA Index ended the year with a sprint, gaining 6.52% in the last three months of 2008.”
The Barclay Diversified Traders Index put in a strong showing in 2008, gaining 26.50%. Systematic Traders were up 18.11%, Discretionary Traders gained 12.55%, and the Financial/Metals Traders Index rose 10.48%.
“The large majority of CTAs utilize trend-following strategies,” says Waksman. “These strategies do not attempt to predict future prices, but rather identify trends. If prices are going up, then trend-followers are long. When prices are going down, they’re short. Strong trends in all major market sectors offered CTAs some excellent trading opportunities in 2008. Commodity prices rallied in the first half of the year and sank in the second half. Equity prices lost ground throughout the year, and bond prices rose.”
In December, the Barclay CTA Index rose 1.02%. The Systematic Traders Index was up 1.43%, Diversified Traders gained 1.28%, and the Financial/Metals Index rose 0.96%.
The Barclay BTOP50 Index, which monitors performance of the largest traders, gained 1.02% in December and realized a 12.87% return for the year.
D.C.